Wednesday, 23 October 2013

First World reasoning

From debate on CY's wall:
A primer on the future of planet Earth

The "Overpopulation is a myth" website correctly argues the entire world population can fit within Texas while still having reasonable accommodation. It conveniently neglects to mention the glaring fact that one cannot actually stay alive in an accommodation without additional supporting land for agriculture, energy, and other basic resources. According to the 2010 Global Footprint Network data, while everyone could squeeze into Texas, it would require multiple earths to provide them with a Western standard of living. A single earth could provide a standard of living around that of Ghana (assuming no other species compete for the same resources), where according to 2006 World Bank data, more than half live on less than $2/day, and 90% live on less than $5/day.

The "Overpopulation is a myth" correctly argues that the world fertility rate is decreasing and could eventually reach sub-replacement levels. Unfortunately, by the above definition, overpopulation has already occurred and will continue to worsen over the upcoming decades. According to 2012 UN projections, overpopulation will improve after 2050, under the best-case scenario. Under the average-case scenario, it will not improve in the foreseeable future.

"Overpopulation is a myth" is a myth.

References

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